Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xce81e3c66a532c95b4d3e190aed398518eee9820ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Record (consensus markets)55% (6–5, n=11)35% (3645–6646, n=10291)45% (10–12, n=22)47% (14184–15686, n=29870)
Consensus PnL$46K$3.0M$5.3M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #533PM monthly #105PM monthly #2PM monthly #29 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position86% (6 of 7 open)no open consensus position55% (17 of 31 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settlednot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 5 at avg 63¢, ROI +39%—59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢0%—12% (won 0% of 2)10% (won 57% of 2593)
Entries 30–50¢20% (won 100% of 1)—6% (won 0% of 1)22% (won 94% of 5682)
Entries 50–70¢60% (won 100% of 3)—65% (won 73% of 11)35% (won 99% of 9181)
Entries 70¢ and up20% (won 100% of 1)—18% (won 67% of 3)33% (won 100% of 8519)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xce81e3c66a532c95b4d3e190aed398518eee9820ferrariChampions2026joseph00677RN1
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: O/U 2.5
opposite sides · consensus Under
—Under $1.2K—Over $1.6K
Taipei: Jan Kumstat vs Harold Mayot
same side · consensus Harold Mayot
—Harold Mayot $11K—Harold Mayot $3.2K
Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Athletic Club: 1st Half O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Under
—Over $1.3K—Over $360