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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbF4d202382 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 43% (46–60, n=106) | 97% (214–6, n=220) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $119K | $1.0M |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #39 | PM monthly #106 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 82% (32 of 39 open) | 51% (18 of 35 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet | not computed yet | not computed yet | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39% | — | — |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 11% (won 69% of 36) | — | — |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 97% of 116) | — | — |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 37% (won 99% of 124) | — | — |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 17% (won 100% of 56) | — | — |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xbF4d202382 | BreakTheBank | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Bills (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Bills | — | Bills $142K | Vikings $31K | — |
| Spread: Bills (-2.5) same side · consensus Bills | — | Bills $13K | Bills $4.7K | — |