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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xbF4d202382 | BreakTheBank | e46m3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 96% (291–13, n=304) | 17% (155–754, n=909) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $8.4M | $536K |
| Tracked as | Hand-picked | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #2 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (2 of 4 open) | 79% (30 of 38 open) | 74% (316 of 429 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| ||
| Weakest topic | — | — | NFL −6 pts, n=17 |
| Settled positions, side won | 78% of 311 at avg 75¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 593 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 62% of 5804 at avg 54¢, ROI +30% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 10% (won 10% of 31) | 10% (won 82% of 60) | 38% (won 18% of 2197) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 5% (won 29% of 17) | 36% (won 98% of 212) | 7% (won 53% of 397) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 11% (won 60% of 35) | 35% (won 100% of 205) | 9% (won 71% of 531) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 73% (won 93% of 228) | 20% (won 100% of 116) | 46% (won 97% of 2679) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
7 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.