PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xb14AC3a7E4b56C26afD5cd065C500fA0A2Be4254-1769811390492CORGIIRN1sainttroplay
Record (consensus markets)93% (71–5, n=76)62% (382–231, n=613)48% (11892–12700, n=24592)71% (10–4, n=14)
Consensus PnL$14K$4.5M$13.4M$4.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #975PM monthly #74PM monthly #17 + pinnedwas PM monthly #11
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 1 open)no open consensus position58% (90 of 154 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 72 at avg 70¢, ROI +30%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 100% of 1)9% (won 91% of 35)10% (won 56% of 2478)0%
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 71% of 7)56% (won 99% of 214)22% (won 94% of 5361)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 50–70¢33% (won 100% of 24)34% (won 100% of 129)36% (won 99% of 8705)50% (won 100% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up56% (won 100% of 40)2% (won 100% of 7)31% (won 100% of 7425)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.