PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xF8164A94e27CdCeD0cC975e21308fB099B2D0433-177269216814400gringo00BreakTheBankRN1
Record (consensus markets)66% (134–68, n=202)75% (6–2, n=8)45% (501–606, n=1107)48% (11719–12501, n=24220)
Consensus PnL$23K$3.5M$12.1M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #427was PM monthly #19PM monthly #1Hand-picked
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position69% (24 of 35 open)69% (77 of 112 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%94% of 23809 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)10% (won 56% of 2460)
Entries 30–50¢—0%35% (won 98% of 181)22% (won 94% of 5335)
Entries 50–70¢—100% (won 86% of 7)34% (won 99% of 176)36% (won 99% of 8653)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 105)31% (won 100% of 7361)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.