PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE71359d50Ea42c73bFf065ec47F418506A7aC9a0-1771230981470beachboy4BreakTheBankprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market69% (43–19, n=62)45% (501–606, n=1107)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL—$5.8M$12.1M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #902was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)69% (24 of 35 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won—57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 85% of 53)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—29% (won 56% of 62)35% (won 98% of 181)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢—54% (won 52% of 114)34% (won 99% of 176)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up—14% (won 86% of 29)20% (won 100% of 105)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.