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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | HomeRunHazard | roldy | SineNooneEI | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 60% (61–40, n=101) | 54% (304–264, n=568) | 39% (7–11, n=18) | 54% (7–6, n=13) |
| Consensus PnL | $172K | $309K | $3.3K | $220K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #61 | PM monthly #7 | was PM monthly #630 | PM monthly #71 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 77% (49 of 64 open) | 67% (4 of 6 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 88% of 8 at avg 47¢, ROI +31% | 100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 100% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 10% (won 100% of 6) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 63% (won 80% of 5) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 63% (won 100% of 37) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 38% (won 100% of 3) | 50% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 14) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592 | HomeRunHazard | roldy | SineNooneEI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avalanche vs. Senators opposite sides · consensus Avalanche | — | Senators $1.3K | Avalanche $3.2K | — |
| Spread: Hurricanes (-1.5) opposite sides · consensus Kraken | — | Kraken $845 | Hurricanes $957 | — |
| Wild vs. Maple Leafs same side · consensus Wild | — | Maple Leafs $482 | Maple Leafs $2.3K | — |