Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
	0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Forecastication2	HomeRunHazard	SineNooneEI
Record (consensus markets)	60% (61–40, n=101)	47% (74–82, n=156)	54% (304–264, n=568)	54% (7–6, n=13)
Consensus PnL	$172K	-$24K	$309K	$220K
Tracked as	PM monthly #61	was PM monthly #893	PM monthly #7	PM monthly #71
Sides with the consensus	no open consensus position	13% (1 of 8 open)	77% (49 of 64 open)	50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics	Esports +39 pts n=59, ROI +41%	not computed yet	College Basketball +47 pts n=37, ROI +47% NBA +49 pts n=27, ROI +49% NHL +44 pts n=20, ROI +45%	none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic	—	—	—	—
Settled positions, side won	100% of 59 at avg 61¢, ROI +41%	—	100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%	100% of 4 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢	3% (won 100% of 2)	—	1% (won 100% of 1)	0%
Entries 30–50¢	10% (won 100% of 6)	—	32% (won 100% of 31)	50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 50–70¢	63% (won 100% of 37)	—	57% (won 100% of 55)	50% (won 100% of 2)
Entries 70¢ and up	24% (won 100% of 14)	—	10% (won 100% of 10)	0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market	0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592	Forecastication2	HomeRunHazard	SineNooneEI
Spread: Pistons (-10.5) opposite sides · consensus Wizards	—	Pistons $6.1K	Wizards $1.5K	—
Pistons vs. Wizards opposite sides · consensus Pistons	—	Wizards $1	Pistons $1.2K	—
Pistons vs. Wizards: O/U 221.5 same side · consensus Under	—	Over $5	Over $1.4K	—