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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592BreakTheBankHomeRunHazardPeteLama
Record (consensus markets)63% (59–35, n=94)56% (20–16, n=36)54% (203–170, n=373)no settled market
Consensus PnL$187K$822K$228K—
Tracked asPM monthly #60PM monthly #1PM monthly #8PM monthly #460
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)50% (4 of 8 open)71% (107 of 151 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 49 at avg 63¢, ROI +40%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%—
Entries under 30¢4% (won 100% of 2)0%1% (won 100% of 1)—
Entries 30–50¢10% (won 100% of 5)57% (won 100% of 13)32% (won 100% of 31)—
Entries 50–70¢57% (won 100% of 28)39% (won 100% of 9)57% (won 100% of 55)—
Entries 70¢ and up29% (won 100% of 14)4% (won 100% of 1)10% (won 100% of 10)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0xE16D3F2A5807999b358aFfD9445C3a09E45E5e30-1776429210592BreakTheBankHomeRunHazardPeteLama
Celtics vs. Raptors
opposite sides · consensus Celtics
—Raptors $16KCeltics $34K—
Spread: Nuggets (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
—Grizzlies $415Nuggets $21—
Spread: Pacers (-3.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $11KPacers $9.3K—