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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0xCB3143ee858E14d0B3FE40fFeaEa78416e646B0BreakTheBankjoseph00677ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market60% (12–8, n=20)no settled marketno settled market
Consensus PnL—$779K——
Tracked aswas PM monthly #814PM monthly #1PM monthly #7PM monthly #160
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position0% (0 of 2 open)no open consensus positionno open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=83, ROI +49%
  • NBA +47 pts n=58, ROI +46%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=160, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
  • MLB +5 pts n=17, ROI +44%
Weakest topic———NFL −8 pts, n=71
Settled positions, side won—95% of 332 at avg 52¢, ROI +39%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%54% of 496 at avg 57¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢—11% (won 69% of 36)8% (won 0% of 1)19% (won 10% of 96)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 97% of 116)8% (won 0% of 1)21% (won 35% of 105)
Entries 50–70¢—37% (won 99% of 124)69% (won 67% of 9)27% (won 54% of 132)
Entries 70¢ and up—17% (won 100% of 56)15% (won 100% of 2)33% (won 91% of 163)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.