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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x94d6530C8d6CF9A89c7F2E6a9CF4f2Cb50dF121ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)88% (106–14, n=120)63% (1095–632, n=1727)48% (17933–19364, n=37297)
Consensus PnL$103K$4.6M$14.8M
Tracked asPM monthly #303PM monthly #111PM monthly #28 + pinned
Sides with the consensus75% (9 of 12 open)72% (73 of 101 open)55% (53 of 97 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −8 pts, n=147—
Settled positions, side won83% of 102 at avg 73¢, ROI +10%64% of 1406 at avg 64¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢21% (won 33% of 21)13% (won 14% of 187)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 75% of 4)19% (won 39% of 269)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢6% (won 100% of 6)23% (won 57% of 328)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up70% (won 97% of 71)44% (won 94% of 622)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.