PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8a697827b546da738f50cc592598a480e24d5728sainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Record (consensus markets)no settled market71% (10–4, n=14)45% (510–623, n=1133)50% (13566–13694, n=27260)
Consensus PnL—$4.4M$10.6M$3.5M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #869was PM monthly #11PM monthly #1PM monthly #16
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position63% (26 of 41 open)75% (3 of 4 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%
Entries under 30¢—0%10% (won 85% of 53)8% (won 59% of 860)
Entries 30–50¢—50% (won 100% of 5)35% (won 98% of 181)21% (won 86% of 2252)
Entries 50–70¢—50% (won 100% of 5)34% (won 99% of 176)39% (won 94% of 4102)
Entries 70¢ and up—0%20% (won 100% of 105)32% (won 99% of 3425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x8a697827b546da738f50cc592598a480e24d5728sainttroplayBreakTheBankomnibus-076daa
Lakers vs. Clippers
opposite sides · consensus Clippers
——Clippers $98KLakers $4.4K