PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x8a697827b546da738f50cc592598a480e24d5728omnibus-076daasainttroplayRN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market50% (13566–13694, n=27260)71% (10–4, n=14)48% (12083–12906, n=24989)
Consensus PnL—$3.5M$4.4M$13.4M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #869PM monthly #16was PM monthly #11PM monthly #17 + pinned
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position75% (3 of 4 open)no open consensus position80% (8 of 10 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—91% of 10639 at avg 60¢, ROI +31%100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52%94% of 23969 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢—8% (won 59% of 860)0%10% (won 56% of 2478)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 86% of 2252)50% (won 100% of 5)22% (won 94% of 5361)
Entries 50–70¢—39% (won 94% of 4102)50% (won 100% of 5)36% (won 99% of 8705)
Entries 70¢ and up—32% (won 99% of 3425)0%31% (won 100% of 7425)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.