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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
Add:0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188RN1BonereaperBreakTheBankNiNo999texaskid
| 0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360 | pspspsps5 | machinelearned | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 63% (11217–6634, n=17851) | 65% (2206–1190, n=3396) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $274K | $35K |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #998 | PM monthly #588 | PM monthly #578 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 0% (0 of 3 open) | 0% (0 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | College Basketball −5 pts, n=17 | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 64% of 185 at avg 45¢, ROI +14% | 100% of 7800 at avg 61¢, ROI +37% | 98% of 1295 at avg 73¢, ROI +21% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 22% (won 23% of 40) | 26% (won 100% of 1995) | 3% (won 64% of 42) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 65% of 48) | 13% (won 100% of 988) | 6% (won 93% of 75) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 48% (won 81% of 88) | 14% (won 100% of 1083) | 28% (won 100% of 360) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 5% (won 78% of 9) | 48% (won 100% of 3734) | 63% (won 100% of 818) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x8Bb006d1bB8b1C5735DA79E81637e3dad6E3ca79-1768601841360 | pspspsps5 | machinelearned |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET same side · consensus Down | — | Up $154 | Up $303 |
| Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET same side · consensus Down | — | Up $4 | Up $82 |