Consensus Won ✓

Smart money consensus was Down — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Down

Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET

Resolved Down. 50% of the top Polymarket traders held Down. The smart money was right.

View on Polymarket

RESOLVED

🏆

Won

Consensus Traders

Down 51%

Total Value

$7.0K

Combined PnL

$-1.7K

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 40 top traders (50%)20 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Market Activity

Outcome Probabilities

Up0%

Down100%

Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome

Down20 traders

Total Value$7.0K

Total Shares6,973

Combined PnL-$72.57

Up20 traders

Total Value$0

Total Shares5,566

Combined PnL$-1.6K

Down — 50%Up — 50%

Trader	Position	Invested	Value	PnL	Record
DA dangerously-skip-permissions	Downavg 61.5¢	$1.2K	$1.2K	-$55.01	56% 14683-11373 (26056)
CR CrouchPredictions	Downavg 83.9¢	$920.44	$816.19	-$104.25	56% 13588-10613 (24201)
WZ wzbbb	Downavg 79.1¢	$839.66	$748.68	-$90.97	56% 6960-5414 (12374)
UN uninformedflowwCTR	Upavg 23.8¢	$314.7	—	-$314.7	57% 33225-25562 (58787)
Polkadot-Frog	Downavg 83.1¢	$717	$556.53	-$160.47	83% 29237-5890 (35127)
GO GoodFallen	Downavg 56.7¢	$506.96	$550.78	+$43.82	55% 13073-10507 (23580)
HO hoodquant	Downavg 99¢	$494.98	$499.98	+$5	93% 20604-1665 (22269)
SP spartacray	Downavg 69.6¢	$306.98	$355.54	+$48.56	56% 18861-14567 (33428)
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c	Downavg 74.3¢	$334.3	$349.97	+$15.67	56% 11691-9236 (20927)
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding	Downavg 72.9¢	$284.56	$352.49	+$70.02	60% 11551-7546 (19097)
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b	Downavg 71.7¢	$272.04	$344.4	+$72.35	62% 17037-10576 (27613)
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR	Upavg 48.1¢	$239.7	—	-$239.7	71% 21334-8554 (29888)
SI sir-upalot	Downavg 74¢	$139.54	$188.5	+$48.96	56% 19501-15631 (35132)
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e	Downavg 67.7¢	$209.05	$177.22	-$31.84	55% 6775-5546 (12321)
PB PBot-6CTR	Upavg 48.1¢	$152.35	—	-$152.35	62% 34047-20694 (54741)
FairValueMachine	Downavg 71.2¢	$152.14	$158.02	+$5.88	56% 11758-9077 (20835)
DR drfc4eybh7i8	Downavg 98¢	$146.8	$140	-$6.8	68% 77726-36976 (114702)
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR	Upavg 54¢	$128.53	—	-$128.53	52% 16024-14986 (31010)
AS asdaefef	Downavg 98.9¢	$126.88	$116.99	-$9.89	77% 25565-7723 (33288)
0X 0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025	Downavg 69.5¢	$142.18	$204.43	+$62.25	67% 14977-7366 (22343)
GA gansinimenCTR	Upavg 51¢	$208.58	—	-$208.58	51% 13785-13152 (26937)
PL ply-pm0	Downavg 71.4¢	$135.94	$101.18	-$34.76	49% 4640-4775 (9415)
EZ EZTRADENL2CTR<$100	Upavg 54¢	$97.2	—	-$97.2	57% 10925-8302 (19227)
machinelearnedCTR	Upavg 20.4¢	$151.01	—	-$151.01	56% 7708-6091 (13799)
ohioism	Downavg 64¢	$68.1	$106.41	+$38.31	77% 28993-8555 (37548)

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down

Invested

$1,230.87

Value

$1.2K

PnL

-$55.01

Record

56%

14683-11373 (26056)

CrouchPredictions

Down

Invested

$920.44

Value

$816.19

PnL

-$104.25

Record

56%

13588-10613 (24201)

wzbbb

Down

Invested

$839.66

Value

$748.68

PnL

-$90.97

Record

56%

6960-5414 (12374)

uninformedflowwCTR

Invested

$314.7

Value

—

PnL

-$314.7

Record

57%

33225-25562 (58787)

Polkadot-Frog

Down

Invested

$717

Value

$556.53

PnL

-$160.47

Record

83%

29237-5890 (35127)

GoodFallen

Down

Invested

$506.96

Value

$550.78

PnL

+$43.82

Record

55%

13073-10507 (23580)

hoodquant

Down

Invested

$494.98

Value

$499.98

PnL

+$5

Record

93%

20604-1665 (22269)

spartacray

Down

Invested

$306.98

Value

$355.54

PnL

+$48.56

Record

56%

18861-14567 (33428)

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down

Invested

$334.3

Value

$349.97

PnL

+$15.67

Record

56%

11691-9236 (20927)

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down

Invested

$284.56

Value

$352.49

PnL

+$70.02

Record

60%

11551-7546 (19097)

0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3b

Down

Invested

$272.04

Value

$344.4

PnL

+$72.35

Record

62%

17037-10576 (27613)

0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518CTR

Invested

$239.7

Value

—

PnL

-$239.7

Record

71%

21334-8554 (29888)

sir-upalot

Down

Invested

$139.54

Value

$188.5

PnL

+$48.96

Record

56%

19501-15631 (35132)

0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e

Down

Invested

$209.05

Value

$177.22

PnL

-$31.84

Record

55%

6775-5546 (12321)

PBot-6CTR

Invested

$152.35

Value

—

PnL

-$152.35

Record

62%

34047-20694 (54741)

FairValueMachine

Down

Invested

$152.14

Value

$158.02

PnL

+$5.88

Record

56%

11758-9077 (20835)

drfc4eybh7i8

Down

Invested

$146.8

Value

$140

PnL

-$6.8

Record

68%

77726-36976 (114702)

0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507CTR

Invested

$128.53

Value

—

PnL

-$128.53

Record

52%

16024-14986 (31010)

asdaefef

Down

Invested

$126.88

Value

$116.99

PnL

-$9.89

Record

77%

25565-7723 (33288)

0x424eb20Fcd25113e3b98f42522A54580350b263b-1774330621025

Down

Invested

$142.18

Value

$204.43

PnL

+$62.25

Record

67%

14977-7366 (22343)

gansinimenCTR

Invested

$208.58

Value

—

PnL

-$208.58

Record

51%

13785-13152 (26937)

ply-pm0

Down

Invested

$135.94

Value

$101.18

PnL

-$34.76

Record

49%

4640-4775 (9415)

EZTRADENL2CTR<$100

Invested

$97.2

Value

—

PnL

-$97.2

Record

57%

10925-8302 (19227)

machinelearnedCTR

Invested

$151.01

Value

—

PnL

-$151.01

Record

56%

7708-6091 (13799)

ohioism

Down

Invested

$68.1

Value

$106.41

PnL

+$38.31

Record

77%

28993-8555 (37548)

Smart Money Signal

Down

20 of 40 top traders (50%)20 hold an outcome priced under 50%16 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)

Chat

Market Info

Condition ID

0x6207165f...65694b

Slug

btc-updown-5m-1792982400

Traders in this Market

dangerously-skip-permissions

Down — $1.2K

-$55.01

CrouchPredictions

Down — $816.19

-$104.25

wzbbb

Down — $748.68

-$90.97

uninformedfloww

CTR

Up — $0

-$314.7

Polkadot-Frog

Down — $556.53

-$160.47

GoodFallen

Down — $550.78

+$43.82

hoodquant

Down — $499.98

+$5

spartacray

Down — $355.54

+$48.56

0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37c

Down — $349.97

+$15.67

Repentant-Dealer-Gliding

Down — $352.49

+$70.02

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