Consensus Won ✓
Smart money consensus was Up — and it was correct. Winning outcome: Up
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 25, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET
Resolved Up. 61% of the top Polymarket traders held Up. The smart money was right.
🏆
Won
33
Up 61%
3 arb excluded
$8.4K
-$68.67
Smart Money Signal
20 of 33 top traders (61%)3 arbitrage traders dimmed13 hold an outcome priced under 50%15 small positions dimmed (<$100 invested)
Outcome Probabilities
Smart Money Breakdown by Outcome
| Trader | Position | Invested | Value | PnL | Record |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TH THG. | Upavg 99¢ | $2.7K | $2.7K | +$26.8 | 64% 15382-8502 (23884) |
CR CrouchPredictionsCTR | Downavg 31¢ | $733.34 | — | -$733.34 | 56% 13588-10613 (24201) |
WZ wzbbb | Upavg 59.9¢ | $1.0K | $1.2K | +$179.06 | 56% 6960-5414 (12374) |
 Polkadot-Frog | Upavg 21.6¢ | $517.44 | $1.2K | +$699.75 | 83% 29237-5890 (35127) |
0X 0x50f7CTR | Downavg 1.3¢ | $132.39 | — | -$132.39 | 81% 32112-7778 (39890) |
DA dangerously-skip-permissionsCTR | Downavg 47¢ | $836.62 | — | -$836.62 | 56% 14683-11373 (26056) |
HO hoodquant | Upavg 97.8¢ | $587.64 | $601 | +$13.36 | 93% 20604-1665 (22269) |
 machinelearned | Upavg 49.8¢ | $224.9 | $319.96 | +$95.06 | 56% 7708-6091 (13799) |
GA gansinimenCTR<$100 | Downavg 25.1¢ | $90.51 | — | -$90.51 | 51% 13785-13152 (26937) |
UN uninformedfloww | Upavg 24.7¢ | $140.7 | $569.23 | +$428.53 | 57% 33225-25562 (58787) |
PB PBot-6CTR | Downavg 43.5¢ | $248.11 | — | -$248.11 | 62% 34047-20694 (54741) |
GO GoodFallen | Upavg 54¢ | $238.25 | $251.61 | +$13.36 | 55% 13073-10507 (23580) |
PL ply-pm0CTR | Downavg 48.9¢ | $137.34 | — | -$137.34 | 49% 4640-4775 (9415) |
 pspspsps5 | Upavg 10.1¢ | $32.16 | $317.38 | +$285.22 | 59% 15749-10920 (26669) |
0X 0xe3EeB127d5763a6E4aD597f773F9d259C94d5176-1780742904507 | Upavg 8¢ | $24 | $300 | +$276 | 52% 16024-14986 (31010) |
 OhioRiskManagement | Upavg 17.2¢ | $29.62 | $139.42 | +$109.8 | 50% 54008-54171 (108179) |
0X 0x502b532F55778c0985846Dc53a9bc71eB4F33b15-1761320484518ARB<$100 | Downavg 44.8¢ | $116.65 | $65 | -$51.65 | 71% 21334-8554 (29888) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 44.8¢ | $85.2 | — | -$85.2 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 48.4¢ | $31.45 | $65 | +$33.55 | |
0X 0xb543fd77aeadc8f2a153187664c0b38dcd505d5e | Upavg 72¢ | $150.17 | $106.97 | -$43.19 | 55% 6775-5546 (12321) |
0X 0xf9b7876ba2c35370e0bedb7f8ee772da722aa37cARB<$100 | Downavg 61.9¢ | $81.64 | $77.15 | -$4.49 | 56% 11691-9236 (20927) |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 61.9¢ | $60.13 | — | -$60.13 | |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 27.9¢ | $21.52 | $77.15 | +$55.63 | |
 FairValueMachineARB<$100 | Upavg 55.5¢ | $82.4 | $92.56 | +$10.15 | 56% 11758-9077 (20835) |
| └ Up leg | Upavg 55.5¢ | $51.36 | $92.56 | +$41.2 | |
| └ Down leg | Downavg 42¢ | $31.04 | — | -$31.04 | |
RE Repentant-Dealer-Gliding | Upavg 54¢ | $80.87 | $112.32 | +$31.45 | 60% 11551-7546 (19097) |
EZ EZTRADENL2 | Upavg 21.9¢ | $30.6 | $140 | +$109.4 | 57% 10925-8302 (19227) |
0X 0x568b079891fcc8bef2e557fa2a8a7ecca1700b3bCTR<$100 | Downavg 66.3¢ | $67.99 | — | -$67.99 | 62% 17037-10576 (27613) |
0X 0xba679aB701E6162CC2C932b8B498124F47394727-1774328661530CTR<$100 | Downavg 72¢ | $72.21 | — | -$72.21 | 58% 11317-8292 (19609) |
AS asdaefefCTR<$100 | Downavg 75.2¢ | $55.8 | — | -$55.8 | 77% 25565-7723 (33288) |
Invested
$2,653.2
Value
$2.7K
PnL
+$26.8
Record
64%
15382-8502 (23884)
Invested
$733.34
Value
—
PnL
-$733.34
Record
56%
13588-10613 (24201)
Invested
$1,035.8
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$179.06
Record
56%
6960-5414 (12374)
Polkadot-FrogInvested
$517.44
Value
$1.2K
PnL
+$699.75
Record
83%
29237-5890 (35127)
Invested
$132.39
Value
—
PnL
-$132.39
Record
81%
32112-7778 (39890)
Invested
$836.62
Value
—
PnL
-$836.62
Record
56%
14683-11373 (26056)
Invested
$587.64
Value
$601
PnL
+$13.36
Record
93%
20604-1665 (22269)
machinelearnedInvested
$224.9
Value
$319.96
PnL
+$95.06
Record
56%
7708-6091 (13799)
Invested
$90.51
Value
—
PnL
-$90.51
Record
51%
13785-13152 (26937)
Invested
$140.7
Value
$569.23
PnL
+$428.53
Record
57%
33225-25562 (58787)
Invested
$248.11
Value
—
PnL
-$248.11
Record
62%
34047-20694 (54741)
Invested
$238.25
Value
$251.61
PnL
+$13.36
Record
55%
13073-10507 (23580)
Invested
$137.34
Value
—
PnL
-$137.34
Record
49%
4640-4775 (9415)
pspspsps5Invested
$32.16
Value
$317.38
PnL
+$285.22
Record
59%
15749-10920 (26669)
Invested
$24
Value
$300
PnL
+$276
Record
52%
16024-14986 (31010)
OhioRiskManagementInvested
$29.62
Value
$139.42
PnL
+$109.8
Record
50%
54008-54171 (108179)
Invested
$116.65
Value
$65
PnL
-$51.65
Record
71%
21334-8554 (29888)
Both legs:
Invested
$150.17
Value
$106.97
PnL
-$43.19
Record
55%
6775-5546 (12321)
Invested
$81.64
Value
$77.15
PnL
-$4.49
Record
56%
11691-9236 (20927)
Both legs:
FairValueMachineARB<$100Invested
$82.4
Value
$92.56
PnL
+$10.15
Record
56%
11758-9077 (20835)
Both legs:
Invested
$80.87
Value
$112.32
PnL
+$31.45
Record
60%
11551-7546 (19097)
Invested
$30.6
Value
$140
PnL
+$109.4
Record
57%
10925-8302 (19227)
Invested
$67.99
Value
—
PnL
-$67.99
Record
62%
17037-10576 (27613)
Invested
$72.21
Value
—
PnL
-$72.21
Record
58%
11317-8292 (19609)
Invested
$55.8
Value
—
PnL
-$55.8
Record
77%
25565-7723 (33288)
Chat
Sign in with your wallet to post.
Market Info
Traders in this Market
THG.
Up — $2.7K
CrouchPredictions
CTRDown — $0
wzbbb
Up — $1.2K
Polkadot-Frog
Up — $1.2K
0x50f7
CTRDown — $0
dangerously-skip-permissions
CTRDown — $0
hoodquant
Up — $601
machinelearned
Up — $319.96
gansinimen
CTRDown — $0
uninformedfloww
Up — $569.23