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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 58% (155–110, n=265) | 48% (12288–13170, n=25458) | 45% (514–628, n=1142) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $1.1M | $13.4M | $10.4M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #579 + pinned | PM monthly #23 + pinned | PM monthly #1 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | 89% (8 of 9 open) | 55% (6 of 11 open) | 66% (25 of 38 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 86% of 640 at avg 55¢, ROI +33% | 94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35% | 97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 52% of 46) | 10% (won 56% of 2507) | 10% (won 85% of 53) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 23% (won 79% of 145) | 22% (won 94% of 5408) | 35% (won 98% of 181) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 53% (won 91% of 340) | 36% (won 99% of 8790) | 34% (won 99% of 176) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 17% (won 93% of 109) | 31% (won 100% of 7551) | 20% (won 100% of 105) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752c | RN1 | BreakTheBank | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | Yes $55K | — | No $145K | — |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus No | No $17 | — | Yes $25K | — |
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | Yes $13K | — | Yes $4.9K | — |