PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752cBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Record (consensus markets)58% (155–110, n=265)45% (514–628, n=1142)75% (6–2, n=8)48% (12288–13170, n=25458)
Consensus PnL$1.1M$10.4M$3.5M$13.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #579 + pinnedPM monthly #1was PM monthly #19PM monthly #23 + pinned
Sides with the consensus89% (8 of 9 open)66% (25 of 38 open)no open consensus position50% (5 of 10 open)
Strongest topics
  • NFL +51 pts n=121, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=72, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +41 pts n=276, ROI +38%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won86% of 640 at avg 55¢, ROI +33%97% of 515 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%86% of 7 at avg 59¢, ROI +25%94% of 24256 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 52% of 46)10% (won 85% of 53)0%10% (won 56% of 2507)
Entries 30–50¢23% (won 79% of 145)35% (won 98% of 181)0%22% (won 94% of 5408)
Entries 50–70¢53% (won 91% of 340)34% (won 99% of 176)100% (won 86% of 7)36% (won 99% of 8790)
Entries 70¢ and up17% (won 93% of 109)20% (won 100% of 105)0%31% (won 100% of 7551)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x6e82b93eb57b01a63027bd0c6d2f3f04934a752cBreakTheBank00gringo00RN1
Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $55KNo $145K——
Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?
opposite sides · consensus No
No $17Yes $25K——
Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $13KYes $4.9K——