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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | papaebal | primm | RN1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (119–139, n=258) | 50% (1105–1116, n=2221) | 47% (14161–15670, n=29831) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $17K | $3.6M | $14.8M |
| Tracked as | — | was PM monthly #928 | PM monthly #47 | PM monthly #32 + pinned |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 80% (4 of 5 open) | 57% (31 of 54 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
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| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 92% of 132 at avg 53¢, ROI +43% | 99% of 1013 at avg 50¢, ROI +51% | 94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 9% (won 92% of 12) | 5% (won 94% of 51) | 10% (won 57% of 2593) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 35% (won 93% of 46) | 41% (won 99% of 412) | 22% (won 94% of 5682) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 38% (won 90% of 50) | 50% (won 99% of 503) | 35% (won 99% of 9181) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 18% (won 96% of 24) | 5% (won 100% of 47) | 33% (won 100% of 8519) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | papaebal | primm | RN1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: James Madison (-17.5) opposite sides · consensus Southern Miss | — | — | James Madison $1.4K | Southern Miss $268 |