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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | ndb1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 66% (877–458, n=1335) | 70% (204–89, n=293) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $4.1M | $61K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #12 | PM monthly #189 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 71% (27 of 38 open) | 83% (5 of 6 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | Crypto ±0 pts, n=133 |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 76% of 328 at avg 73¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 12% (won 24% of 38) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 11% (won 44% of 36) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 9% (won 66% of 29) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 69% (won 91% of 225) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
2 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | ndb1 | ThanksGivingTurkey1001 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | No $772 | Yes $1.5K |
| Will the Republican Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections? same side · consensus No | — | No $2.0M | No $99K |
| 2026 Balance of Power: R Senate, R House same side · consensus No | — | No $1.5M | No $88K |