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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241ndb1RN1wpj
Record (consensus markets)no settled market65% (876–462, n=1338)47% (13283–14790, n=28073)39% (12–19, n=31)
Consensus PnL—$4.2M$14.8M$28K
Tracked as—PM monthly #11PM monthly #23 + pinnedPM monthly #999
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (18 of 23 open)53% (21 of 40 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −10 pts, n=132——
Settled positions, side won—64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%94% of 25801 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%37% of 27 at avg 41¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢—13% (won 16% of 160)10% (won 57% of 2606)37% (won 0% of 10)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 40% of 253)22% (won 94% of 5665)22% (won 33% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢—24% (won 57% of 310)36% (won 99% of 9185)19% (won 60% of 5)
Entries 70¢ and up—43% (won 93% of 544)32% (won 100% of 8345)22% (won 83% of 6)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.