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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | crmannetje | ndb1 | sainttroplay | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 56% (101–79, n=180) | 48% (16–17, n=33) | 66% (876–458, n=1334) | 71% (10–4, n=14) |
| Consensus PnL | $3.5M | $42K | $4.1M | $4.4M |
| Tracked as | was PM monthly #373 | PM monthly #381 | PM monthly #26 | was PM monthly #11 |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 72% (28 of 39 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
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| Weakest topic | — | Soccer −5 pts, n=10 | NFL −10 pts, n=132 | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42% | 60% of 20 at avg 46¢, ROI +23% | 64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% | 100% of 10 at avg 49¢, ROI +52% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 7% (won 75% of 8) | 30% (won 33% of 6) | 13% (won 16% of 160) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 93% of 29) | 20% (won 50% of 4) | 20% (won 40% of 253) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 42% (won 96% of 47) | 45% (won 78% of 9) | 24% (won 57% of 310) | 50% (won 100% of 5) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 96% of 27) | 5% (won 100% of 1) | 43% (won 93% of 544) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | crmannetje | ndb1 | sainttroplay |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will the Democratic Party control the Senate after the 2026 Midterm elections? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $22K | No $61K | — |