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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241beachboy4BreakTheBankglennyorkshire
Record (consensus markets)56% (101–79, n=180)67% (43–21, n=64)45% (547–663, n=1210)46% (166–196, n=362)
Consensus PnL$3.5M$6.1M$11.0M$869
Tracked aswas PM monthly #373was PM monthly #24PM monthly #1PM monthly #927
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)75% (83 of 110 open)50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topics
  • MLB +46 pts n=20, ROI +49%
  • Esports +35 pts n=28, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +30 pts n=52, ROI +38%
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
  • NFL +51 pts n=139, ROI +49%
  • NBA +49 pts n=93, ROI +48%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • NFL +14 pts n=46, ROI +4%
  • MLB +12 pts n=18, ROI +19%
  • NBA +5 pts n=16, ROI +14%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=93—Soccer −4 pts, n=195
Settled positions, side won94% of 111 at avg 58¢, ROI +42%57% of 213 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%97% of 559 at avg 53¢, ROI +41%54% of 345 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢7% (won 75% of 8)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 79% of 58)7% (won 13% of 23)
Entries 30–50¢26% (won 93% of 29)30% (won 57% of 63)36% (won 98% of 200)28% (won 45% of 95)
Entries 50–70¢42% (won 96% of 47)54% (won 51% of 115)35% (won 99% of 194)48% (won 57% of 165)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 96% of 27)14% (won 86% of 29)19% (won 100% of 107)18% (won 73% of 62)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.