← Traders
Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | xxNyx | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | no settled market | 46% (560–665, n=1225) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 85% (1287–235, n=1522) |
| Consensus PnL | — | $11.2M | $5.6M | $110K |
| Tracked as | — | PM monthly #2 | PM monthly #1 | Hand-picked |
| Sides with the consensus | no open consensus position | 48% (10 of 21 open) | no open consensus position | 74% (56 of 76 open) |
| Strongest topics | not computed yet |
|
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | Elections −5 pts, n=70 |
| Settled positions, side won | — | 97% of 563 at avg 53¢, ROI +41% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 81% of 1845 at avg 79¢, ROI +1% |
| Entries under 30¢ | — | 10% (won 81% of 57) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 9% of 249) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | — | 36% (won 98% of 201) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 5% (won 51% of 89) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | — | 35% (won 99% of 196) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 6% (won 56% of 108) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | — | 19% (won 100% of 109) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 76% (won 97% of 1399) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | xxNyx |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026? opposite sides · consensus No | — | Yes $16K | — | No $737 |