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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpvtcchampion52
Record (consensus markets)no settled market45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)46% (268–313, n=581)
Consensus PnL—$7.9M$3.6M$138K
Tracked as—PM monthly #2PM monthly #10PM monthly #474
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)72% (100 of 138 open)78% (7 of 9 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——Other Sports −13 pts, n=22—
Settled positions, side won—97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%45% of 548 at avg 44¢, ROI +2%
Entries under 30¢—10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)42% (won 3% of 231)
Entries 30–50¢—35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)17% (won 35% of 91)
Entries 50–70¢—35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)13% (won 79% of 70)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)28% (won 99% of 156)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241BreakTheBankFlaznorpvtcchampion52
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
—Ravens $265KJaguars $305—
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
—Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.3K—