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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlphaBetaGamma2357beachboy4ndb1
Record (consensus markets)no settled market53% (413–363, n=776)no settled market65% (888–469, n=1357)
Consensus PnL—$100K—$4.2M
Tracked as—PM monthly #604—PM monthly #147
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position54% (13 of 24 open)no open consensus position74% (34 of 46 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnot computed yet
Weakest topic—MLB −18 pts, n=23—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won—52% of 765 at avg 50¢, ROI +5%—64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢—15% (won 20% of 113)—13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢—40% (won 40% of 308)—20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢—25% (won 60% of 192)—24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up—20% (won 86% of 152)—43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.