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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlanCurtisBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Record (consensus markets)no settled market54% (208–178, n=386)45% (572–710, n=1282)52% (6569–6087, n=12656)
Consensus PnL—$22K$7.9M$3.6M
Tracked as—PM monthly #966PM monthly #2PM monthly #10
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position78% (28 of 36 open)72% (98 of 137 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=98, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=282, ROI +37%
  • Tennis +13 pts n=53, ROI +24%
  • NHL +8 pts n=61, ROI +12%
  • Esports +9 pts n=13, ROI +14%
Weakest topic———Other Sports −13 pts, n=22
Settled positions, side won—70% of 383 at avg 46¢, ROI 0%97% of 582 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%56% of 1617 at avg 55¢, ROI +27%
Entries under 30¢—37% (won 31% of 143)10% (won 82% of 60)29% (won 11% of 465)
Entries 30–50¢—21% (won 81% of 80)35% (won 98% of 204)16% (won 40% of 255)
Entries 50–70¢—16% (won 98% of 62)35% (won 100% of 202)16% (won 62% of 260)
Entries 70¢ and up—26% (won 100% of 98)20% (won 100% of 116)39% (won 94% of 637)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-1777648534241AlanCurtisBreakTheBankFlaznorp
Jaguars vs. Ravens
opposite sides · consensus Jaguars
——Ravens $265KJaguars $305
Spread: Warriors (-3.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
——Warriors $3.5KHeat $1.3K