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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5966Db1fE50763C9e3C014d756369BAd07E1F804-17776485342418373ndb1UpTheBlues
Record (consensus markets)no settled market83% (5–1, n=6)65% (885–467, n=1352)50% (19547–19609, n=39156)
Consensus PnL—$41K$4.2M$3.1M
Tracked as—PM monthly #575PM monthly #21PM monthly #8
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position80% (28 of 35 open)70% (33 of 47 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settled
  • MLB +59 pts n=945, ROI +58%
  • Esports +62 pts n=67, ROI +63%
  • MMA +63 pts n=36, ROI +63%
Weakest topic——NFL −10 pts, n=132—
Settled positions, side won—100% of 5 at avg 67¢, ROI +48%64% of 1267 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%100% of 40605 at avg 67¢, ROI +36%
Entries under 30¢—0%13% (won 16% of 160)7% (won 99% of 2777)
Entries 30–50¢—20% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 40% of 253)20% (won 100% of 8217)
Entries 50–70¢—40% (won 100% of 2)24% (won 57% of 310)22% (won 100% of 8818)
Entries 70¢ and up—40% (won 100% of 2)43% (won 93% of 544)51% (won 100% of 20793)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.