PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x59364b4da00da533a7702d1f2fadce1992bb3798CORGIIbeachboy4primm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market63% (379–225, n=604)69% (43–19, n=62)49% (823–849, n=1672)
Consensus PnL—$4.5M$5.8M$3.4M
Tracked asPM monthly #835PM monthly #88was PM monthly #24PM monthly #22
Sides with the consensusno open consensus positionno open consensus position100% (2 of 2 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic——NBA −6 pts, n=91—
Settled positions, side won—98% of 379 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%99% of 784 at avg 50¢, ROI +51%
Entries under 30¢—9% (won 91% of 35)3% (won 17% of 6)5% (won 93% of 42)
Entries 30–50¢—55% (won 99% of 209)29% (won 56% of 62)41% (won 99% of 322)
Entries 50–70¢—34% (won 100% of 128)54% (won 52% of 114)49% (won 99% of 383)
Entries 70¢ and up—2% (won 100% of 7)14% (won 86% of 29)5% (won 100% of 37)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.