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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816Flaznorpgmpm2googleplay
Record (consensus markets)no settled market75% (862–280, n=1142)50% (2–2, n=4)50% (5–5, n=10)
Consensus PnL$0$95K-$6.1K$430K
Tracked asPM monthly #694PM monthly #23PM monthly #32PM monthly #17
Sides with the consensus67% (2 of 3 open)68% (214 of 315 open)no open consensus position50% (1 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yetnone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won—52% of 214 at avg 50¢, ROI +2%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%100% of 5 at avg 51¢, ROI +49%
Entries under 30¢—31% (won 9% of 66)0%0%
Entries 30–50¢—26% (won 45% of 56)33% (won 67% of 3)20% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 50–70¢—14% (won 69% of 29)56% (won 40% of 5)80% (won 100% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up—29% (won 97% of 63)11% (won 100% of 1)0%

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x5016c48436AB3eFA2Ab54b117d0C08fa1a4a1eEB-1778328420816Flaznorpgmpm2googleplay
Will New Zealand win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $5.4KNo $735——
Will Belgium win on 2026-11-12?
opposite sides · consensus No
Yes $2.5KNo $2.8K——
Spread: Spurs (-15.5)
same side · consensus Spurs
—Bulls $248—Bulls $64K
Will England win on 2026-11-12?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $49KYes $6.2K——
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 228.5
same side · consensus Over
—Over $147—Over $22K