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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208ndb1RN1
Record (consensus markets)no settled marketno settled market50% (65–65, n=130)
Consensus PnL—$0-$53K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #110PM monthly #34 + pinned
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)74% (67 of 90 open)55% (43 of 78 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −7 pts, n=158—
Settled positions, side won94% of 109 at avg 94¢, ROI +1%66% of 1537 at avg 66¢, ROI +2%94% of 26124 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 3)13% (won 14% of 196)10% (won 57% of 2594)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 25% of 4)18% (won 40% of 283)22% (won 94% of 5704)
Entries 50–70¢0%23% (won 58% of 348)35% (won 99% of 9204)
Entries 70¢ and up94% (won 100% of 102)46% (won 94% of 710)33% (won 100% of 8622)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.