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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x4a1a27c4af018a874e97e551410953cb29e70208Flaznorpprimm
Record (consensus markets)no settled market49% (33–34, n=67)75% (9–3, n=12)
Consensus PnL—$35K$84K
Tracked aswas PM monthly #948PM monthly #14PM monthly #40
Sides with the consensus100% (1 of 1 open)70% (176 of 253 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—NFL −24 pts, n=12—
Settled positions, side won94% of 109 at avg 94¢, ROI +1%56% of 3115 at avg 55¢, ROI +22%99% of 1269 at avg 51¢, ROI +50%
Entries under 30¢3% (won 0% of 3)30% (won 9% of 919)5% (won 95% of 59)
Entries 30–50¢4% (won 25% of 4)15% (won 37% of 455)40% (won 99% of 512)
Entries 50–70¢0%14% (won 63% of 439)50% (won 100% of 633)
Entries 70¢ and up94% (won 100% of 102)42% (won 94% of 1302)5% (won 100% of 65)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.