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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188fantasy7788FlaznorpMegaMan-.-
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)53% (16–14, n=30)71% (2503–1011, n=3514)54% (19–16, n=35)
Consensus PnL$856K$586K$488K$2.4K
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #40PM monthly #13PM monthly #137
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position50% (2 of 4 open)49% (92 of 186 open)100% (3 of 3 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic——College Basketball −4 pts, n=174—
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%100% of 17 at avg 48¢, ROI +53%44% of 1017 at avg 44¢, ROI −3%100% of 23 at avg 56¢, ROI +44%
Entries under 30¢0%6% (won 100% of 1)40% (won 5% of 409)4% (won 100% of 1)
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)53% (won 100% of 9)22% (won 41% of 222)26% (won 100% of 6)
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)35% (won 100% of 6)11% (won 64% of 115)57% (won 100% of 13)
Entries 70¢ and up0%6% (won 100% of 1)27% (won 94% of 271)13% (won 100% of 3)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188fantasy7788FlaznorpMegaMan-.-
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 1 Winner
opposite sides · consensus Gen.G
—Bilibili Gaming $1.1K—Gen.G $45K
LoL: Bilibili Gaming vs Gen.G - Game 2 Winner
same side · consensus Bilibili Gaming
—Bilibili Gaming $248K—Bilibili Gaming $23K