Skip to content

Database problems: some data is degraded. We're fixing it right now.

Details
PolyConsensus
← Traders

Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188MD14nigiri99Sakan1
Record (consensus markets)60% (12–8, n=20)81% (22–5, n=27)54% (455–392, n=847)no settled market
Consensus PnL$856K$328K$324K—
Tracked asPM monthly #24PM monthly #114PM monthly #129PM monthly #950
Sides with the consensus0% (0 of 2 open)100% (1 of 1 open)51% (75 of 147 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +20 pts n=17, ROI +16%
not computed yet
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won100% of 12 at avg 50¢, ROI +50%92% of 24 at avg 71¢, ROI +22%71% of 605 at avg 54¢, ROI +6%—
Entries under 30¢0%4% (won 0% of 1)13% (won 40% of 81)—
Entries 30–50¢42% (won 100% of 5)13% (won 100% of 3)24% (won 62% of 144)—
Entries 50–70¢58% (won 100% of 7)21% (won 80% of 5)43% (won 74% of 261)—
Entries 70¢ and up0%63% (won 100% of 15)20% (won 98% of 119)—

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188MD14nigiri99Sakan1
Nets vs. Grizzlies
opposite sides · consensus Grizzlies
Nets $3.9K—Grizzlies $70K—
Spread: Pistons (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Heat
Pistons $23K—Heat $11K—