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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBanksuntori
Record (consensus markets)62% (8–5, n=13)57% (28–21, n=49)59% (553–389, n=942)
Consensus PnL$624K$758K-$33K
Tracked asPM monthly #34PM monthly #1was PM monthly #792
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position57% (4 of 7 open)42% (94 of 226 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NBA +51 pts n=14, ROI +48%
  • NFL +11 pts n=12, ROI +25%
Weakest topic——Crypto −6 pts, n=411
Settled positions, side won100% of 4 at avg 52¢, ROI +50%100% of 23 at avg 50¢, ROI +47%41% of 953 at avg 44¢, ROI −4%
Entries under 30¢0%0%32% (won 7% of 308)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 100% of 1)57% (won 100% of 13)24% (won 30% of 225)
Entries 50–70¢75% (won 100% of 3)39% (won 100% of 9)24% (won 57% of 231)
Entries 70¢ and up0%4% (won 100% of 1)20% (won 90% of 189)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

3 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x492442EaB586F242B53bDa933fD5dE859c8A3782-1766317541188BreakTheBanksuntori
UFC 334: Josh Hokit vs. Ciryl Gane (Heavyweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Ciryl Gane
—Ciryl Gane $326KCiryl Gane $946
UFC 334: Kevin Holland vs. Uroš Medic (Welterweight, Main Card)
same side · consensus Uroš Medic
—Uroš Medic $1.1KUroš Medic $97
Will the Cincinnati Bengals win the 2027 NFL league championship?
same side · consensus No
—Yes $14Yes $107