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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x44f08432078Df89742D60edfA95Eb843e5A6132F-1764199251972HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)no settled market55% (201–167, n=368)45% (196–244, n=440)
Consensus PnL—$227K$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #902PM monthly #8PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position67% (46 of 69 open)73% (11 of 15 open)
Strongest topicsnot computed yet
Weakest topic———
Settled positions, side won—100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢—1% (won 100% of 1)5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢—32% (won 100% of 31)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢—57% (won 100% of 55)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up—10% (won 100% of 10)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

1 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x44f08432078Df89742D60edfA95Eb843e5A6132F-1764199251972HomeRunHazardkeeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Wizards vs. Pacers: O/U 226.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
—Under $6.0KOver $7.7K
Spread: Lakers (-12.5)
opposite sides · consensus Lakers
—Bucks $1.5KLakers $3.3K
Spread: Pacers (-2.5)
same side · consensus Pacers
—Pacers $1.8KPacers $3