PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x389D2790cD8eaD87028F68eAa7CFadB6c53f5866-1767895502715beachboy4RN1CORGII
Record (consensus markets)59% (10–7, n=17)69% (43–19, n=62)48% (11876–12683, n=24559)63% (379–225, n=604)
Consensus PnL$19K$5.8M$13.4M$4.5M
Tracked asPM monthly #230was PM monthly #24PM monthly #16 + pinnedPM monthly #95
Sides with the consensus33% (1 of 3 open)100% (2 of 2 open)50% (3 of 6 open)0% (0 of 2 open)
Strongest topicsnone with 10+ settled
  • NHL +27 pts n=13, ROI +19%
  • Soccer +10 pts n=81, ROI +5%
Weakest topic—NBA −6 pts, n=91——
Settled positions, side won20% of 5 at avg 13¢, ROI +5%57% of 211 at avg 54¢, ROI +3%94% of 23822 at avg 58¢, ROI +35%98% of 385 at avg 46¢, ROI +55%
Entries under 30¢100% (won 20% of 5)3% (won 17% of 6)10% (won 56% of 2463)9% (won 91% of 35)
Entries 30–50¢0%29% (won 56% of 62)22% (won 94% of 5333)56% (won 99% of 214)
Entries 50–70¢0%54% (won 52% of 114)36% (won 99% of 8660)34% (won 100% of 129)
Entries 70¢ and up0%14% (won 86% of 29)31% (won 100% of 7366)2% (won 100% of 7)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.