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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
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Record (consensus markets)48% (288–313, n=601)63% (990–573, n=1563)
Consensus PnL-$11K$3.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #882PM monthly #104
Sides with the consensusno open consensus position68% (106 of 155 open)
Strongest topics
Weakest topic—NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won67% of 253 at avg 53¢, ROI +7%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢16% (won 27% of 41)13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢31% (won 62% of 79)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢27% (won 75% of 68)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up26% (won 89% of 65)43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.