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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lastminwin | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 50% (70–71, n=141) | 45% (215–260, n=475) | no settled market | no settled market |
| Consensus PnL | -$383K | $151K | $0 | $4 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #34 | PM monthly #99 | PM monthly #152 |
| Sides with the consensus | 33% (5 of 15 open) | 63% (27 of 43 open) | 43% (3 of 7 open) | 50% (1 of 2 open) |
| Strongest topics |
|
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 136 at avg 51¢, ROI +47% | 73% of 15 at avg 46¢, ROI +39% | 50% of 2 at avg 19¢, ROI +9% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 6% (won 100% of 8) | 33% (won 20% of 5) | 100% (won 50% of 2) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 38% (won 100% of 51) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 50% (won 100% of 68) | 20% (won 100% of 3) | 0% |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 7% (won 100% of 9) | 27% (won 100% of 4) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 3 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | keeptheblueflagflyinghigh | lastminwin | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Jazz | Magic $88K | Jazz $5.6K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-4.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $8.3K | Knicks $15K | — | — |
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $3.7K | Knicks $280 | — | — |
| Spread: Celtics (-6.5) same side · consensus Raptors | Raptors $9.1K | Raptors $1.2K | — | — |