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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465joseph00677lalalalalalallalalalalandb1
Record (consensus markets)57% (4474–3357, n=7831)53% (10–9, n=19)no settled market65% (889–469, n=1358)
Consensus PnL$8.9M$5.6M—$4.2M
Tracked aswas PM monthly #344PM monthly #1PM monthly #177PM monthly #139
Sides with the consensus52% (14 of 27 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)73% (33 of 45 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——NFL −9 pts, n=139
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31%100% of 9 at avg 52¢, ROI +47%64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)12% (won 0% of 2)0%13% (won 15% of 168)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)6% (won 0% of 1)33% (won 100% of 3)20% (won 39% of 256)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)65% (won 73% of 11)67% (won 100% of 6)24% (won 58% of 314)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)18% (won 67% of 3)0%43% (won 93% of 550)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

None of the listed consensus markets is held by two or more of them.