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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | rrooster | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (59–65, n=124) | no settled market | 66% (475–241, n=716) | 75% (18–6, n=24) |
| Consensus PnL | -$301K | — | -$143K | -$3.8K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #9 | PM monthly #6 | PM monthly #44 + pinned | was PM monthly #920 |
| Sides with the consensus | 50% (3 of 6 open) | no open consensus position | 33% (1 of 3 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
| none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35% | 62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33% | 100% of 205 at avg 68¢, ROI +33% | 88% of 17 at avg 73¢, ROI +7% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 1% (won 0% of 1) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 6% (won 100% of 12) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 25% (won 94% of 17) | 8% (won 0% of 1) | 13% (won 100% of 26) | 18% (won 67% of 3) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 49% (won 100% of 33) | 69% (won 67% of 9) | 30% (won 100% of 62) | 24% (won 75% of 4) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 24% (won 100% of 16) | 15% (won 100% of 2) | 51% (won 100% of 105) | 59% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | joseph00677 | RN1 | rrooster |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hersonissos 3: Robin Bertrand vs Henry Searle same side · consensus Henry Searle | Robin Bertrand $510 | — | Robin Bertrand $4 | — |