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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gmpm2jelly2026keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Record (consensus markets)47% (62–70, n=132)50% (2–2, n=4)70% (42–18, n=60)45% (196–244, n=440)
Consensus PnL-$493K-$6.1K-$1.7K$6.7K
Tracked asPM monthly #11PM monthly #73was PM monthly #877PM monthly #46
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)71% (10 of 14 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settled
Weakest topic————
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10%71% of 51 at avg 67¢, ROI +5%100% of 134 at avg 51¢, ROI +47%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)0%0%5% (won 100% of 7)
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)33% (won 67% of 3)8% (won 50% of 4)38% (won 100% of 51)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)56% (won 40% of 5)49% (won 56% of 25)50% (won 100% of 67)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)11% (won 100% of 1)43% (won 91% of 22)7% (won 100% of 9)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465gmpm2jelly2026keeptheblueflagflyinghigh
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
opposite sides · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $78K——Tiago Pereira $5.1K
Spread: Magic (-4.5)
opposite sides · consensus Jazz
Magic $58K——Jazz $5.8K