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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | feeder-of-markets | HomeRunHazard | robustmst | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 47% (64–71, n=135) | no settled market | 55% (201–167, n=368) | 42% (13–18, n=31) |
| Consensus PnL | -$420K | $514 | $227K | $208K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | was PM monthly #997 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #27 |
| Sides with the consensus | 56% (5 of 9 open) | 100% (1 of 1 open) | 71% (57 of 80 open) | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled |
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| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 0% of 1 at avg 14¢, ROI −2% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | 100% of 13 at avg 45¢, ROI +50% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 100% (won 0% of 1) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 32% (won 100% of 31) | 85% (won 100% of 11) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 0% | 57% (won 100% of 55) | 15% (won 100% of 2) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 0% | 10% (won 100% of 10) | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | feeder-of-markets | HomeRunHazard | robustmst |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | Vikings $1.8K | — |