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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | esticamos | gmpm2 | HomeRunHazard | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 48% (66–71, n=137) | 83% (5–1, n=6) | 50% (2–2, n=4) | 55% (201–167, n=368) |
| Consensus PnL | -$415K | $2.6K | -$6.1K | $227K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #802 | PM monthly #74 | PM monthly #8 |
| Sides with the consensus | 40% (4 of 10 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position | 67% (72 of 107 open) |
| Strongest topics | none with 10+ settled | none with 10+ settled |
| |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 71% of 7 at avg 68¢, ROI +8% | 56% of 9 at avg 54¢, ROI −10% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 14% (won 0% of 1) | 0% | 1% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 0% | 33% (won 67% of 3) | 32% (won 100% of 31) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 43% (won 67% of 3) | 56% (won 40% of 5) | 57% (won 100% of 55) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 43% (won 100% of 3) | 11% (won 100% of 1) | 10% (won 100% of 10) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | esticamos | gmpm2 | HomeRunHazard |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.5K | — | — | Magic $86 |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $90 | — | — | Vikings $1.8K |