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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBanklossx
Record (consensus markets)58% (4520–3295, n=7815)no settled market45% (573–710, n=1283)68% (265–125, n=390)
Consensus PnL$7.8M—$7.9M$8.6K
Tracked asPM monthly #67—PM monthly #3was PM monthly #959
Sides with the consensus40% (2 of 5 open)no open consensus position62% (18 of 29 open)no open consensus position
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
not computed yet
  • NFL +51 pts n=140, ROI +50%
  • NBA +49 pts n=96, ROI +47%
  • Soccer +40 pts n=281, ROI +37%
  • Crypto +3 pts n=35, ROI −11%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134——Esports −2 pts, n=62
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%—97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40%55% of 97 at avg 55¢, ROI +3%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)—11% (won 80% of 61)13% (won 23% of 13)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)—35% (won 98% of 203)30% (won 38% of 29)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)—35% (won 100% of 201)34% (won 61% of 33)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)—20% (won 100% of 115)23% (won 86% of 22)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465beachboy4BreakTheBanklossx
Will Republicans win Alaska, and lose Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $1.4K—Yes $78K—