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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1wowfarm
Record (consensus markets)58% (4522–3297, n=7819)48% (14139–15621, n=29760)76% (4223–1367, n=5590)
Consensus PnL$7.8M$14.8M$99K
Tracked asPM monthly #54PM monthly #28 + pinnedPM monthly #547
Sides with the consensus60% (15 of 25 open)58% (89 of 154 open)100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +9 pts n=444, ROI +6%
  • Soccer +4 pts n=2281, ROI +1%
  • Tennis +4 pts n=1399, ROI +4%
Weakest topicNHL −1 pts, n=134—Tennis −9 pts, n=87
Settled positions, side won59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2%94% of 25975 at avg 59¢, ROI +35%75% of 5354 at avg 75¢, ROI +1%
Entries under 30¢17% (won 11% of 1183)10% (won 57% of 2593)20% (won 2% of 1095)
Entries 30–50¢24% (won 45% of 1724)22% (won 94% of 5682)2% (won 33% of 82)
Entries 50–70¢29% (won 66% of 2055)35% (won 99% of 9181)4% (won 52% of 212)
Entries 70¢ and up30% (won 91% of 2092)33% (won 100% of 8519)74% (won 97% of 3965)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

5 on the same side, 8 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465RN1wowfarm
Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
Yes $128KNo $9.1K—
Spread: Sport Lisboa e Benfica (-2.5)
opposite sides · consensus KKS Lech Poznań
KKS Lech Poznań $60KSport Lisboa e Benfica $16K—
Rolex Paris Masters: Jan-Lennard Struff vs Casper Ruud
opposite sides · consensus Casper Ruud
Jan-Lennard Struff $2.7KCasper Ruud $6.7K—
FC Twente vs. Páfos FC: O/U 3.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Over $6.3KUnder $10—
Bayer 04 Leverkusen vs. Olympique de Marseille: O/U 0.5
opposite sides · consensus Over
Under $530Over $501—
Bratislava 2: Nicolai Budkov Kjaer vs Kimmer Coppejans
opposite sides · consensus Nicolai Budkov Kjaer
Kimmer Coppejans $81Nicolai Budkov Kjaer $213—
Will Panathinaikós AO win on 2026-11-05?
opposite sides · consensus Yes
No $218Yes $11—
Spread: Panathinaikós AO (-1.5)
opposite sides · consensus PFK CSKA Sofia
PFK CSKA Sofia $17Panathinaikós AO $4—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus Yes
Yes $200KYes $18K—
Will Sport Lisboa e Benfica vs. KKS Lech Poznań end in a draw?
same side · consensus No
No $93KNo $28K—
Will KKS Lech Poznań win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $44KNo $20K—
AZ vs. Juventus FC: O/U 0.5
same side · consensus Over
Under $6.5KUnder $76—
Will FK Jablonec win on 2026-11-05?
same side · consensus No
No $38No $157—