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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ISMS2222 | ndb1 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4516–3391, n=7907) | 38% (22–36, n=58) | 66% (901–474, n=1375) |
| Consensus PnL | $7.8M | $142K | $4.5M |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #69 | PM monthly #773 | PM monthly #100 |
| Sides with the consensus | 70% (14 of 20 open) | 75% (3 of 4 open) | 72% (109 of 151 open) |
| Strongest topics |
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| |
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | NFL −15 pts, n=16 | NFL −9 pts, n=139 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 44% of 55 at avg 41¢, ROI +7% | 64% of 1288 at avg 64¢, ROI +4% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 38% (won 33% of 21) | 13% (won 15% of 168) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 24% (won 15% of 13) | 20% (won 39% of 256) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 29% (won 63% of 16) | 24% (won 58% of 314) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 9% (won 100% of 5) | 43% (won 93% of 550) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
0 on the same side, 1 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | ISMS2222 | ndb1 |
|---|---|---|---|
| Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? opposite sides · consensus Yes | — | Yes $2.9K | No $1.0M |