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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | reykreyk | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 49% (68–71, n=139) | 54% (201–168, n=369) | no settled market | 25% (1–3, n=4) |
| Consensus PnL | -$393K | $226K | — | -$788 |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #10 | PM monthly #8 | PM monthly #6 | was PM monthly #977 |
| Sides with the consensus | 23% (3 of 13 open) | 70% (94 of 135 open) | no open consensus position | no open consensus position |
| Strongest topics |
| not computed yet | none with 10+ settled | |
| Weakest topic | — | — | — | — |
| Settled positions, side won | 97% of 72 at avg 60¢, ROI +36% | 100% of 97 at avg 54¢, ROI +46% | — | 100% of 2 at avg 57¢, ROI +43% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 3% (won 50% of 2) | 1% (won 100% of 1) | — | 0% |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 26% (won 95% of 19) | 32% (won 100% of 31) | — | 50% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 46% (won 100% of 33) | 57% (won 100% of 55) | — | 50% (won 100% of 1) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 25% (won 100% of 18) | 10% (won 100% of 10) | — | 0% |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
3 on the same side, 2 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | HomeRunHazard | joseph00677 | reykreyk |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread: Knicks (-3.5) opposite sides · consensus Knicks | Cavaliers $4.0K | Knicks $9.7K | — | — |
| Magic vs. Jazz opposite sides · consensus Magic | Jazz $3.3K | Magic $6.5K | — | — |
| Spread: Magic (-4.5) same side · consensus Jazz | Magic $58K | Magic $6.3K | — | — |
| Vikings vs. Packers same side · consensus Vikings | Vikings $95 | Vikings $5.7K | — | — |
| Thunder vs. Trail Blazers same side · consensus Thunder | Thunder $188 | Thunder $5.0K | — | — |