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PolyConsensus
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Compare traders

Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.

Traders side by side
0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677rrooster
Record (consensus markets)48% (62–68, n=130)75% (739–246, n=985)no settled market73% (19–7, n=26)
Consensus PnL-$290K$69K—-$17K
Tracked asPM monthly #9PM monthly #14PM monthly #6was PM monthly #920
Sides with the consensus29% (2 of 7 open)66% (74 of 112 open)no open consensus position100% (1 of 1 open)
Strongest topics
  • NBA +42 pts n=29, ROI +39%
  • Tennis +37 pts n=16, ROI +37%
none with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settlednone with 10+ settled
Weakest topic—Soccer −8 pts, n=40——
Settled positions, side won97% of 67 at avg 60¢, ROI +35%44% of 88 at avg 51¢, ROI −23%62% of 13 at avg 59¢, ROI +33%88% of 17 at avg 73¢, ROI +7%
Entries under 30¢1% (won 0% of 1)34% (won 10% of 30)8% (won 0% of 1)0%
Entries 30–50¢25% (won 94% of 17)19% (won 29% of 17)8% (won 0% of 1)18% (won 67% of 3)
Entries 50–70¢49% (won 100% of 33)13% (won 55% of 11)69% (won 67% of 9)24% (won 75% of 4)
Entries 70¢ and up24% (won 100% of 16)34% (won 83% of 30)15% (won 100% of 2)59% (won 100% of 10)

Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.

Markets they hold together now

2 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.

Market0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465Flaznorpjoseph00677rrooster
Monastir: Kilian Feldbausch vs Tiago Pereira
same side · consensus Tiago Pereira
Kilian Feldbausch $116KKilian Feldbausch $1.4K——
Orleans: Buvaysar Gadamauri vs Daniel Altmaier
same side · consensus Buvaysar Gadamauri
—Buvaysar Gadamauri $2.2K—Buvaysar Gadamauri $363