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Compare traders
Two to four tracked traders side by side: their record on consensus markets, where they are strongest, what prices they buy at, how often they side with the consensus and the markets they hold together right now.
| 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Record (consensus markets) | 57% (4487–3372, n=7859) | 45% (571–700, n=1271) | 53% (10–9, n=19) | 69% (371–168, n=539) |
| Consensus PnL | $8.9M | $9.4M | $5.6M | $177K |
| Tracked as | PM monthly #123 | PM monthly #1 | PM monthly #3 | PM monthly #383 |
| Sides with the consensus | 62% (8 of 13 open) | 47% (9 of 19 open) | no open consensus position | 44% (4 of 9 open) |
| Strongest topics |
| |||
| Weakest topic | NHL −1 pts, n=134 | — | — | MLB −2 pts, n=87 |
| Settled positions, side won | 59% of 7054 at avg 55¢, ROI +2% | 97% of 580 at avg 53¢, ROI +40% | 59% of 17 at avg 57¢, ROI +31% | 71% of 485 at avg 71¢, ROI +2% |
| Entries under 30¢ | 17% (won 11% of 1183) | 11% (won 80% of 61) | 12% (won 0% of 2) | 13% (won 11% of 63) |
| Entries 30–50¢ | 24% (won 45% of 1724) | 35% (won 98% of 203) | 6% (won 0% of 1) | 11% (won 35% of 52) |
| Entries 50–70¢ | 29% (won 66% of 2055) | 35% (won 100% of 201) | 65% (won 73% of 11) | 12% (won 63% of 56) |
| Entries 70¢ and up | 30% (won 91% of 2092) | 20% (won 100% of 115) | 18% (won 67% of 3) | 65% (won 90% of 314) |
Records and specialties count consensus markets only and run optimistic: Polymarket's closed-position data rarely lists bets that went to zero. Edge = how much more often the held side won than its entry price implied.
Markets they hold together now
1 on the same side, 0 on opposite sides. Opposite sides first.
| Market | 0x2c335066FE58fe9237c3d3Dc7b275C2a034a0563-1759935795465 | BreakTheBank | joseph00677 | Pondermint |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Jon Ossoff win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? same side · consensus Yes | — | Yes $75K | — | Yes $2.3K |